Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.065243 3.229088 3.402138 3.599423 3.819240 4.057979 4.338732
2025-06-29 2.728514 2.941052 3.175727 3.456870 3.788438 4.172258 4.658316
2025-07-06 2.508647 2.751395 3.028768 3.374558 3.802307 4.326212 5.037647
2025-07-13 2.421190 2.700836 3.031422 3.460778 4.019812 4.749579 5.827707
2025-07-20 2.328818 2.633428 3.003668 3.501443 4.179419 5.118263 6.626557
2025-07-27 2.285022 2.619355 3.037341 3.620009 4.453470 5.688469 7.890031
2025-08-03 2.228119 2.582709 3.036484 3.688837 4.663340 6.201597 9.250367
2025-08-10 2.138313 2.496778 2.962659 3.646549 4.699587 6.440407 10.191990
2025-08-17 2.029732 2.379863 2.838962 3.521119 4.590511 6.408953 10.545725
2025-08-24 1.950593 2.297809 2.757672 3.450520 4.559591 6.510055 11.258719
2025-08-31 1.894094 2.243021 2.710417 3.425892 4.599392 6.748283 12.454512
2025-09-07 1.842063 2.191637 2.664672 3.399280 4.631550 6.976728 13.783628
2025-09-14 1.772132 2.117147 2.588224 3.329288 4.598124 7.101937 15.053370
2025-09-21 1.697406 2.033605 2.495486 3.228614 4.502088 7.081574 15.861206
2025-09-28 1.639651 1.971478 2.430957 3.168726 4.474609 7.213831 17.511480
2025-10-05 1.626181 1.970306 2.454938 3.252885 4.725909 8.079127 24.605532
2025-10-12 1.601828 1.952445 2.452846 3.293540 4.900469 8.832047 35.081311
2025-10-19 1.595640 1.959950 2.488973 3.401819 5.231881 10.210527 75.095443
2025-10-26 1.578667 1.950836 2.498707 3.464642 5.479737 11.514496 343.077730
2025-11-02 1.540541 1.909112 2.455192 3.427912 5.497032 12.010304 NaN
2025-11-09 1.488285 1.844904 2.373633 3.316474 5.326213 11.687148 NaN
2025-11-16 1.449281 1.799260 2.319935 3.253561 5.264905 11.813035 NaN
2025-11-23 1.421192 1.768958 2.289415 3.231640 5.299659 12.385180 NaN